Mark Herring's announcement was one of necessity: the case in which the notice and memorandum were filed today, Bostic v. Rainey, has an oral argument scheduled for one week from today. The Attorney General's role is to appear before the court and provide legal analysis on cases filed against the state. Virginia's new Governor, Lt. Governor, and Attorney General were all sworn into office twelve days ago, which required Herring and staff to make a quick decision on how they wanted to approach Bostic.
Democratic Attorney Generals across the nation have been refusing to argue in favor of state law's banning same-sex marriage. Pennsylvania, Hawaii, and, of course, each of California's attorney generals refused to defend their state's law. Even the Executive Branch took a similar stand when asked to defend the now-unconstitutional Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA), passing that case along to GOP House with counsel eager to defend the law.
We all know what happened in California. Since no government official would agree to defend Proposition 8, a citizen group formed in order to defend California's law. The Supreme Court, taking an easy out, ruled that Hollingsworth v. Perry was improvidently granted due to lack of standing -- that the citizen group didn't have a right to represent the state of California in defending its law and would therefore not rule on the case's merits -- and the case was rescinded back to a lower court. This meant that the California's high court ruling against Proposition 8 was the ruling of the land, thereby legalizing same-sex marriage in the state. Of course, at the end of the day the Hollingsworth ruling was a victory for the LGB movement, but it's hard to not be curious how the SCOTUS would have ruled on the case if they didn't use an escape route, especially when they completely overturned DOMA on the same day.
David Boies and Ted Olson, after teaming up for their win in Hollingsworth, have chosen Bostic as their next test case. Boies and Olson cite the origin of Loving v. Virginia as their rationale for choosing Virginia as their next test case. My guess on the real rationale is a combination of Virginia being moderate state that has moved from red-leaning moderate to a bluer shade of purple within the last decade (poll numbers suggest a majority of Virginians now support gay marriage), that Virginia's Marshall-Newman amendment banning same-sex marriages is written rather broadly (there were concerns raised before the amendment passed that contracts between people of the same-sex could be invalidated by the amendment), and finally, my guess is that Boies and Olson assumed that Virginia would have a Republican Governor, Lt. Governor, or Attorney General that would defend the law. Prior to Herring's election, a narrow victory by fewer than 1,000 votes out of over 2 million ballots cast, a Democratic Attorney General hasn't held office in Virginia in twenty years. I know that Herring refusing to defend Marshall-Newman is a victory for Boies and Olson, but I have to wonder if they're a little frustrated that they've picked another case where they won't get to argue against a state-backed attorney general.
Fortunately for those of us that actually want to see a state-wide marriage ban ruling before the Supreme Court, one that's not rescinded to a lower court due to lack of standing, Utah and Oklahoma's higher courts both ruled recently against the constitutionality of same-sex marriage bans. These cases are both on their way to the Tenth Circuit Court, one step from the SCOTUS, and are defended by state representatives. Since Bostic is only hitting District Court litigation now, the case may eventually become moot as its well behind these two other test cases. Those cases may hit the SCOTUS on appeal as early as the October 2014 - June 2015 term.
I have a few comments from reading Herring's memorandum filed today. First, I assumed that because of Herring's stand, that the General Assembly's GOP leadership would appoint suitable counsel, as was the case in the DOMA proceedings. The memo details that because county clerks from both Norfolk and Prince William were sued along with the Attorney General and those clerks have both agreed to defend the lawsuit, the case will likely move forward without need for any additional counsel appointed. Whether the General Assembly steps in and assists in defending the suit is a scenario that will surely unravel over the next few days.
In the memo Herring quotes Scalia's opinions several times, most notably in a timeline of precedential LGB SCOTUS decisions. Scalia's quotes derive from all of his dissents in cases with pro-LGB rulings, which makes it even more surprising that he's referenced so often here. Here's why: he has a tendency of forebodingly predicting the future in his dissents, a practice that is now coming back to haunt him in not only this memo, but in courts across the country. For example, in 2003's Lawrence v. Texas, the case that made sodomy laws illegal, Scalia says the majority ruling would "'dismantle' the constitutional impediment to same-sex marriage." Scalia's fortune-telling struck again in his DOMA minority opinion: "the majority arms well every challenger to a state law restricting marriage to its traditional definition." Another quote from the same ruling: "the view that this Court will take of state prohibition of same-sex marriage is indicated beyond mistake by today's opinion... How easy it is, indeed how inevitable, to reach the same conclusion with regard to state laws denying same-sex couples marital status." Parties are now specifically citing these dissent passages as proof that the Windsor's cautious majority ruling inevitably applies at the state-level. It must feel nice to use Scalia's words of warning as a prophecy of his own undoing.
Finally, and in my opinion, most interesting, is that Herring argues that the same-sex marriage ban should be reviewed with strict scrutiny under the Equal Protection Clause. There are three levels of evaluating whether a law should be found unconstitutional by the 14th amendment: the rational-based review (the easiest test for the law to overcome), heightened or intermediate scrutiny, and the most severe test -- strict scrutiny. I won't go into the fine print of how discriminationatory laws are evaluated against government justifications via these tests, but I will say that certain attributes of individuals have precedents for which level of scrutiny is applied. For example, gender is evaluated on a heightened scrutiny level, while race is evaluated according to strict scrutiny. If a personal characteristic does not have a level of scrutiny precedent, usually the courts will evaluate that discrimination against a rational-basis test. The rational-basis review has been the level of scrutiny used for LGB laws since the dawn of these cases being brought to the court. Recently, courts have been applying heightened scrutiny to these LGB cases, rationalizing that LGB discrimination is a form of gender discrimination, and thus should be judged against the same level of scrutiny as gender. Herring takes same-sex discrimination to the next and final level, appealing that marriage is a fundamental right and therefore we should apply strict scrutiny. This is unusual, but I wouldn't be surprised if it takes hold in other courts sooner than you'd think.
Same-sex marriage support has been progressing at unprecedented and unforeseen rates. Virginia's Marshall-Newman amendment passed with a healthy 57% of voters in support of a gay marriage ban. In the eight years since the amendment passed, recent polls show that the majority of Virginia voters now support revoking the constitutional ban on same-sex marriage. Since the ban is a constitutional amendment, according to Virginia law if this year's General Assembly voted to strike down the ban (it won't -- they already tried and failed), next year's GA would have do vote on the bill again, and THEN it would go to voter referendum. (This is why you don't pass constitutional amendments on issues with evolving opinions.) The earliest Marshall-Newman can be repealed legislatively is in 2016, but is more likely to occur in the late teens of this century or early 2020s due to a current lack of majority support in the General Assembly.
Progress is coming; this is a mantra we've heard for the past few years. But now it's coming even from places and people you'd never expect. Virginia overwhelming supported a same-sex marriage ban in Marshall-Newman eight years ago, and is now looking to make amends. You wouldn't guess it now, but in 2006, Mark Herring, then a state senator, voted for Marshall-Newman. Now he's leading the charge to be on the right side of history.